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AM's Week 20 Player Picks

It's All About Spurs - 2 home games in our first DG of the season

Firstly, HAPPY NEW YEAR to all our readers - I wish you a prosperous 2012! I've had a pretty lame New Year's Eve as you can probably tell by the fact this is being posted at 3am UK time on 01/01/12. "Man-flu" took over yesterday so I stayed in with Sarah for a Thai takeaway, watched the countdown and fireworks on TV and then decided it was better to write this post tonight before bed than try to write tomorrow morning, as I feel I'm going to get worse.

Now, I totally accept I've been rubbish with my NMA posts recently, but Xmas Eve + Xmas Day + Boxing Day, + Best Mates Birthday + Cousin's Wedding + Sickness had left me with no option. I got one particularly unpleasant Facebook message regarding my slackness which I did not appreciate, but I know 99.99% of readers are the same as the rest of us and know that at this time of year you have to remember this is a hobby and family and friends come before Fantasy Football. I'm very lucky that I have 2 great co-writers in Neal & Jeremy who have covered everything in my absence and I hope you're starting to realise why other commitments (for all 3 of us) meant switching to this partnership and platform made 100% sense.

Star-divide


As for the YFF game itself, I have to mention that Week 18 was my worst for 3 seasons (37 points) and Week 19 is looking just as bad (currently on 20 points with Brown, Silva & Aguero to go). DDG, Rooney & Woodgate combined for -10.5 and I gained minimum points from my other 5 players (Nani, Ramsey, Ade, Verm, Ramires) dropping from 480th to 1,111st in 5 days. To be honest my pre-Christmas confidence has been shot to pieces by the past 2 weeks as everything has gone wrong, but you have to keep going at this time of the year and stick to your strategy - you must remember- as I'm sure many of you are having a tough time too - that we all have bad spells.

Anyway, Week 20 is another budget post as I'm still hammered with illness and commitments (I have a family meal on New Years Day and the next deadline is in 36 hours!) but I needed to write out my opinions for the upcoming round. Why? Because this is OFFICIALLY our first double week of the season for TWO teams. No mistakes this time, my contact at Yahoo has confirmed it will be 2 games for Tottenham and Everton. It is also the 5th Round of The Blog Cup - how quickly has that come round?

The DGers:

EVERTON v Bolton
TOTTENHAM v West Brom
TOTTENHAM v EVERTON


Now immediately you see that it's time to grab Tottenham players. They were held to a well fought draw at Swansea today but at home they are very dangerous and I can't see either opponent dealing with them at the Lane. Meanwhile, Everton have a very tasty home games against Bolton before that 2nd match so there is nothing wrong with sticking in a few of their options with an eye on the home fixture and bonus points in "Game 2".

Those of you who have followed me from my previous blog will know I advocate picking as many double-gamers as you can without dropping big discounts as it has consistently worked out in the past. This is highly recommended this week as I don't think there are many stand-out single gamers.

Fulham v Arsenal
Aston Villa v Swansea
Blackburn v Stoke
QPR v Norwich
Wolves v Chelsea
Man City v Liverpool
Wigan v Sunderland
Newcastle v Man Utd


In fact, are there any? Maybe Arsenal at Fulham but that could be tough. Chelsea at Wolves? Well the Blues aren't playing great and McCarthy will have his men well up for it. Man Utd at Newcastle? I wouldn't bank on an away win there with the crowd behind the barcodes. Man City at home to Liverpool? Maybe, but it won't be easy if Suarez and Gerrard are both available (which they should be).

So in my opinion, unless you are holding some huge discounts (e.g. RvP, Wes Brown, David Silva, Aguero, Sorenson, Clark) it's time to let go of the rest and get involved in this double week. I even dumped De Gea tonight - I was a long time advocate of hanging on for the season but I accept I was wrong ... 2 zeros (where Lindegaard kept clean sheets) followed by -10.5 in a home defeat with a major error means I'm certain he's going to lose his #1 place as Ferguson hunts the title. Mistake? Possibly, but I felt it was the right thing to do at this stage.

Here are the DGers I like:

KEEPERS
Howard - Value @ 6, risky, but could get a CS at home and should have plenty of saves to make at Spurs.
Friedel- Pricey, but two very possible clean sheets so can't be completely ignored.


DEFENDERS
Baines - Set pieces and penalties, top dollar but tempting,
Walker - Attacking fullback with 2 CS chances
Kaboul - Seems certain to start with Gallas/King rotating alongside, 2 CS chances
Heitinga - Most affordable Everton defender this week

MIDFIELDERS
Bale - Very expensive but at his best in home games. Not sure about full price, but at a discount you're laughing.
Van Der Vaart - Don't expect the full 180 minutes from him, but deadly in front goal and on set pieces / pens. Must have if you can't afford Bale.
Osman - Everton's best player this season, doing what Tim Cahill used to do
Modric - Should score more goals but again, at his best in front of his home crowd
Drenthe - The wildcard, a real talent, could score or get sent off but probably the best value Everton pick at around 10
Lennon* - Could be back to add much needed pace to the right hand side and allow VDV to go central, but check injury news
Sandro - Parker went off injured today so he should play twice, under 7.00 and despite the fact he's defensive, he's Brazilian, so expect the unexpected.

STRIKERS
Adebayor - No brainer
Saha - 1 goal all season but faces Bolton and has a great record against Spurs
Donovan - Might not be added in time, but if he is he could get minutes from the bench for Bolton a possible start at Spurs.

That's the DGers - I'll be back tomorrow with my assessment of the single game players, but there won't be many recommendations outside of the obvious discounts.

My team is:

Bunn, Brown, Heitinga, Kaboul, Modric, Drenthe, Silva, Van Der Vaart, Saha, Aguero, Adebayor

7 DGers ... DDG gone, Verm gone (out for 3 weeks due to an injury today) and I'm waiting to see what happens to Man City tomorrow before deciding on what to do with Silva and Aguero. The chances are I keep them both but I haven't ruled out bringing Osman or Walker in. I definitely can't afford Gareth Bale at 22+, and haven't definitely settled on Bunn in goal, it could be Robinson (for the zero @ 1), to free up cash, Krul (risky at home to Man U) or Kenny (at home to Norwich if back from illness).

That's it for now! How was your Xmas / New Year? How many Dgers for you in Week 20? Are you still in The Blog Cup

Time for bed - sorry for any typos.

Cheers, Nik

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Get Well!

I’m a DDG fan also, not a bad idea to drop him but I HATE the keeper carousel.
My issues: Keep Gerrard at 9? That’s a possible 10+. Keep HBA? at dirt cheap, WHEN BA leaves for ACN, word is he pushes up front. Mid, playing striker. I’ll sleep on it…

Good write up for a late nighter.
Happy New Years bud!

by Owen Williams on Dec 31, 2011 7:31 PM PST reply actions  

Wishing you great new year and great recovery!!!

Nik, just to point out. If Verm is out for three weeks, the games he would miss are
jan2fulham, jan15swansea, jan 22 manutd, jan31 blackburn. he could well be back in time against manutd. dont you think it would be good to hold him at a discount?

by kidZac on Dec 31, 2011 7:41 PM PST reply actions  

Fully agree… the idiot that slams you is a total moron… you guys are great in providing the guidance for free and i believe that 99.999999999% of the fans are in sync on the appreciation. We should ban that moron….
Everyone has their own priorities in life and football is just a portion of our life…
Get well Nik… and happy new year to all..

by SIL-80 on Dec 31, 2011 8:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Amen to that

and keep up the Thai food – extra spicy – burn the flu out of you.

Now, two words, Defoe/ Rodwell.

by TheRenegade on Jan 1, 2012 6:02 AM PST up reply actions  

Ditto. It’s one thing to slam you for making bad picks, that’s all in fun, but for having a personal life? Loser needs a life. Feel better, Nik.

by El Canon on Dec 31, 2011 8:37 PM PST reply actions  

Donovan

He played midfield for almost the entirety of the season for the Galaxy. Any chance Yahoo brings him in there or is he going to be listed as a forward like last time?

by El Canon on Dec 31, 2011 8:45 PM PST reply actions  

Nik please help! Please!

hi nik Jeremiah here from Singapore I accidentally removed myself from blog league 7 but I am still in the blog league can you please help add me back into the system? My team name is iamtheman (ksl1 + nma_blog)…can you email/tweet/reply me the group ID and pass? Thanks A LOT!

Jcys.96@gmail.com or @jerechoo

by Salakau369 on Dec 31, 2011 9:54 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

VDV injured?

Anyone knows if he is injured again?

by Team Orange on Dec 31, 2011 10:18 PM PST reply actions  

at 8 its probably worth looking at him as a long term investment but don’t be shocked when fergie drops him.

by mikebirty on Dec 31, 2011 11:24 PM PST up reply actions  

how about at 10-ish… is he worth keeping?

by SIL-80 on Jan 1, 2012 2:26 AM PST up reply actions  

happy new year!

I’m keeping DDG – can’t see fergie dropping him, he’s way too stubborn to do that.

anyway, my team is:

ddg, brown at 3, kaboul, walker, silva at 11, drenthe, vdv, sandro, cahill, K2 and .4 away from saha.

If I drop silva to put saha in, it leaves me with 10 and the chance to add P-Jag to the defense. But I’m a bit worried he’ll be following Gary Cahill to London before the first game kicks off.

by mikebirty on Dec 31, 2011 11:23 PM PST reply actions  

What would you do?

Use ur cash for expensive def/goali such as baines and frdl… Or mid/forwards such as bale and vdv

by parkie1 on Dec 31, 2011 11:49 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

always better to move money forward, not backwards

average points per position always favor the more attacking roles.

by GeoffMumz on Dec 31, 2011 11:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Dropped DeGea...

…we’ll see if I’m kicking myself the rest of the season.

Would LOVE to be in the blog cup still, but I missed out by .5 points last round. Rough way to go out :(

Happy New Year Nik, Neal and Jeremy! What you guys do with your free time enhances all of ours. Thoroughly enjoyable.

by GeoffMumz on Dec 31, 2011 11:50 PM PST reply actions  

ba

adebayor has been sucking lately. do i drop ba, who is going to get a brace against manure, as he already got one at united, for adebayor? i am not sure ade is good enough

by gregandtonic on Jan 1, 2012 12:05 AM PST reply actions  

And Will this Ayala play for Norwich?

by Mikołaj Durczyński on Jan 1, 2012 1:03 AM PST reply actions  

vermaelen

Happy new year Nik take it easy mate before the man flu grips hard! ;). Most people have verm at discount are you holding on to him? Calf strain surely won’t be out long?

by kendomedalaha on Jan 1, 2012 2:29 AM PST via iPhone app reply actions  

doh!

Re read ur blog post replaced verm with gallas waiting on eve toff lineup

by kendomedalaha on Jan 1, 2012 3:59 AM PST via iPhone app reply actions  

happy new year!!!

whos more likely to play both games,saha or drenthe?

by chriscom on Jan 1, 2012 4:18 AM PST reply actions  

decisions

Verm is a big one to hold or sell and then on the whole whether to give up discounts for guys playing two games.

by Off the bar on Jan 1, 2012 5:26 AM PST reply actions  

Verm's gotta go

hate to say it but can’t take the 0’s. Hope he comes back for a partial game so his price comes back down. Further, his loss sorely degrades Szcz (since wk 11) too but here goes;
Szcz,Brown,Clark(thanksNik),Baines,Silva,Gerrard,VdV,Rodwell,Aguero,K2,DeFoe

So 5 doubles with lots of fire power. The trick is in planning to offload this dross and get back to the plan.
Happy New Year to all

by TheRenegade on Jan 1, 2012 6:23 AM PST reply actions  

price

Does price not come down (a lot) in case of absence due to injury? More due to low-score performances?

by TePeL on Jan 1, 2012 9:22 AM PST up reply actions  

God only knows all the parameters for price change. And surely Nik knows more than I.
But, sitting out seems to have no effect. Playing 1 minute of a game seems to be the same as 90, it’s a “game played”, except for DEF need 70 to qual for a CS.
So hopefully Verm comes back, plays 2 minutes of abject stupidity and gets negative points to drive his price down as it did today (-1.54).
Or keep him. Wenger seems to overstate injuries, witness RvP last year.

by TheRenegade on Jan 1, 2012 11:02 AM PST up reply actions  

Cheers, will have to give it some good thought with the DG… don’t really know who to take in instead though.

by TePeL on Jan 2, 2012 12:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Krya på dig

As they say here in Sweden – get well soon m8!
Still sticking with DDG and Verm at this point, not quite sure about either though…

Current team:

DDG,
Verm, Clark, Gohouri (actually had to look up just now lol)
Valencia, Bale, VDV, Gerrard
K2, Kun, Anichebe

I’ve got my doubts with Kun too tbh… rested today so should play but usually not a lot of goals in L’pool top games….

Suggestions?

by TePeL on Jan 1, 2012 9:21 AM PST reply actions  

Hepl 999!!

Hey guys can u help me, my current team is
DDG
Brown,Clark,kaboul
Silva,Cahill,bale,sandro,Rodwell
K2,Rooney
Should I change Rooney with nani??
But who for forward ??
HELP…….

by ZactSmoker on Jan 2, 2012 1:38 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Get well man

your work will always be appreciated

by AndresIniesta on Jan 2, 2012 1:41 AM PST reply actions  

Get Well Nik

I appreciate all the effort not just this season but last year also

by Bertie on Jan 2, 2012 2:58 AM PST reply actions  

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