The Week Ahead - Consolidated Edition
Two days of intensive meetings (yesterday and today) mean that we're only doing one TWA column this week and we'll get right to it.
The schedule this week offers a lot to like with Manchester United and Spurs both at home against weak competition and Manchester City (albeit a weakened version of the leaders) on the road against equally unimpressive foes. That's a lot of premium players to choose from and a lot to sort out.
As you consider these matches here are my brief thoughts on each of those matches:
Manchester United vs. Bolton - The defense is really a mess so if you're going to invest here I'd make it in the attackers.
Spurs vs. Wolves - Outside of Spurs two premium midfielders (Rafael van der Vaart and Gareth Bale) the Spurs attacking players haven't been worth the money in recent weeks. Adebayor, Modric, et al have been somewhere between OK to poor. On the other hand, Spurs defense is coming on as it gets healthier. If you're looking to invest in a premium defender then this is probably the place to do it.
Manchester City @ Wigan - Don't get fooled by Savic here. My take on him is that he's sort of like David Luiz but without the great hair and the occasionally brilliant play. What's left you ask? Well, a lot of crippling mistakes (see the PK that was awarded and the other big mistake where Joe Hart bailed him out yesterday in the Carling Cup match against Liverpool). I'd stick with the guys from City you have on a discount (Silva and Kun) but I wouldn't invest a ton until Kompany gets back.
Other interesting matches:
Chelsea vs. Sunderland - The obvious play here is to dive in on Chelsea against a team that struggled for much of the first half of the season. At this point though, I'm actually expecting Sunderland to win this match outright. Regardless, I don't think this is the potential bonanza that it would have been a couple of months ago.
Newcastle vs. QPR - Another one that would have been much more attractive a couple of months ago (heck, a couple of days ago) but with Ba and Tiote off to the ACN I'm holding off on NUFC until I see how they adjust (or don't).
Player picks after the jump.
Forwards
- Wayne Rooney - With Adebayor disappointing pretty much all of us over Spurs two matches Rooney becomes the clear choice among premium forwards.
- Fernando Torres - I know I said I wasn't thrilled with the Chelsea match as a source of great bounty but with Torres seeming to be finding at least some modicum of form and really the only option for the Blues, he looks worthy of a risk. Certainly more so than Daniel Sturridge who has gotten really expensive.
- Shola Ameobi - Another difference between my schedule analysis and my player picks but it's all about finding value as we get to mid-season with prices rising. I don't think you should count on Shola for a huge performance but if you're looking for a cheap forward who could turn out OK he's probably a better bet than Henry (yes, I know that's sacrilegious but Ameobi has a better chance to start and play the full game).
- Andy Carroll - He has to break out of his slump at some point doesn't he?
- TH12 - More sentiment than logic? Yes. Could it pay off even if he doesn't start? It did in the FA Cup.
- Steven Gerrard - He played a full match against Manchester City in mid-week so I'm a little worried about him turning around and playing 90 again so soon after coming off an injury but if he is playing, I really like the combination of player, price, and match-up.
- Gylfi Sigurdsson - Hard to say if this is the weekend to pull the trigger or just a time to focus on whether he starts and try to pick him up on the Barn Door. The skinny for those who haven't paid any attention is that he's a central midfielder coming over from Hoffenheim who specializes in set pieces and has a rocket of a long range shot. Sounds a bit like a younger Thomas Hitzlsperger which at this price is a nice value.
- Gareth Bale - Bale has been consistently producing over the last month or so and there's no reason to think that the match-up will be anything but a boon to that streak.
- Nani - See Bale above. It would be great if you could get both but if you can only have one I'd have to say it's a toss-up.
- Hatem Ben Arfa - He's been a disappointment but with Ba away he SHOULD get a chance to start a string of matches. As far as enablers go, he's still among the best of bets.
- Vermaelen and Brown - I'm guessing both will miss out this weekend but I'm still holding both at the low prices I have each at (6ish and 3ish respectively).
- Michael Dawson - With William Gallas and Ledley King both out due to injury and Dawson returning from injury Dawson appears to be a solid value compared to Spurs other defenders.
- David Santon - I'm tending toward a lot of Newcastle even though I'm worried about them without their two best players. The absences and injuries are leading toward some potential value plays.
- Angel Rangel - The match-up isn't great but he's been very good about picking up phantom points even when Swansea don't win. His price has been higher than it is so you may want in here.
- Ciaran Clark - Solid value play with an OK home match-up.
- Tim Krul - More Newcastle value plays. Odd, I know but this is just how the value is going right now.
- Pepe Reina - Liverpool's defense has been excellent this season and Reina is reasonably inexpensive given their success in piling up clean sheets.
- Szczesny - Hard to get too excited about Arsenal on the road against a good home team with a depleted defense but with the premium choices (Hart and Friedel) REALLY expensive Szcz is a solid value.
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Berbatov
I hold him at around 11 but I really hate having him in my team because I worry about him not starting. Any thoughts?
Risky..
it seems Roo, Nani, Erva are sure starter
coming up are carrick, valencia and jones
others are saying risky
esp. for MC, Anderson, Park, Giggs seem fighting for same slot
Is Berb your only ManUtd attacker ?
If YES, you may go with Valencia (12.69)
If NOT, you may look for others [ personally I’d like to go with Agbonlahor (10.48) ]
Cheers,
by Malonemuscle on Jan 12, 2012 7:28 PM PST up reply actions
I wouldn't
If you want a United forward but can’t afford Rooney – Wellbeck is a better bet at starting.
He does tend to abuse weak teams.
But who knows what SAF has planned.
some other players
yak and donovan should be considered. donovan is a better pick than henry and that comes from an american arsenal fan that hates donovan.
valencia is a much better pick than nani. i think nzogbia, pederson and milner should be mentioned too. milner will take over for silva. pedersen has been on a 2 game tear. nzogbia over the last 4 games is turning into a fantasy stud. i want to buy nzogbia but i am going with valencia who has a higher upside.
.01 to spend
krul
vermaelen, senderos, santon
colback, bale, dempsey, valencia
aguero, yakubu and donovan.
i am happy with this team. i have great midfield.
rumour circulating Manchester is that....
Silva has a broken foot but city are trying to hide it / get him to play through it until Yaya comes back.
Silva
David Silvaās ankle problem isnāt as bad as first feared. Thierry Henry undergoes extra fitness sessions as he pushes for a start against Swansea, Scott Parker could return for Spurs, while Darron Gibson joins Everton from Man United:
Owners of David Silva will be relieved to hear that the diminutive Spaniard is due to resume training tomorrow and could be ready to face Wigan. The Monday evening kick-off could serve as a blessing, affording Silva a couple of extra days to recover from the ankle injury which kept him out of the mid-week cup defeat to Liverpool. Silva saw a specialist on Wednesday and the injury will be assessed today once the swelling has gone down. Assistant manager David Platt, who also admitted Mario Balotelli is a doubt for the Latics showdown, said:
David did a bit of running yesterday and will do a bit more today. Hopefully he will be back on the training pitch tomorrow.
K.M. (Ken M.)
will Kolarov play?
Clichy started the Carlingcup match.
If Kola starts, he could be an interesting option at 8.5 as he takes free kicks and tends get phantom points down the left.
by Joohyun Ryan Lee on Jan 13, 2012 3:11 AM PST reply actions
Nasri
Is Nasri starting? want to replace Silva with Nasri….is it ok?
Lots of Skuddlebutt going around
Getting harder & harder to finalize my team this week. With talk of Ferdinand having a “bug” and Valencia possible move to right back while Rooney and company could be playing a more midfield position again leaving United “toothless” once again, and combine that with Silva’s leg now amputated but still attempting to get fit for this weeks game along with Adebayor all of a sudden being confirmed as useless (I still have him!) there can be only one logical conclusion to all this……
FERNANDO TORRES!!!
K.M. (Ken M.)
by K.M. on Jan 13, 2012 5:13 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
How many players to hold at 1.00?
I am currently holding Spearing at 1.01 (was good value before he got injured) and Ayala at 1.14, essentially hoping to maximize points with a 9-man team. Your thoughts?
Krul / Ayala, Savic, Santon/ Bale, Gerrard, Spearing, Silva/ K2, Rooney, Donovan
1.Arsavin+Savic 2.Valencia+Ayala
1.Arsavin+Savic
2.Valencia+Ayala
2
arshavin is not fit, and savic may not in start
absutely no to arshavin.
arshavin is a bad pick and giggs is even worse. i would get ramsay, his play is starting to get fantasy points.
by gregandtonic on Jan 13, 2012 9:46 AM PST up reply actions
Krul
Ayala Dawson Rangel
Valencia Gerrard VdV HBA
RvP Bellamy Torres…
2 in the bank, thoughts?
by sjjag316 on Jan 13, 2012 6:57 AM PST via mobile reply actions
Welbeck
What are his chances of starting?
by dmor20 on Jan 13, 2012 7:35 AM PST via mobile reply actions
paul scholes
anyone think he will get a start??
what happened to Sturridge.?
he didnt appear for two match.. against wolves & against Portsmouth…
GGMU..!!!
larsson...he take free kicks..
GGMU..!!!
by Ahmad Malaysia on Jan 13, 2012 10:03 AM PST up reply actions
a fact about walcott
all of walcott’s goals have been away from home.
Keep valencia @ 8.5 (now over 12) or make the switch to arshavin, hoilett, ramsey, ireland?
by sjjag316 on Jan 13, 2012 10:24 AM PST via mobile reply actions
Gerrard+Torres vs Rooney+HBA
hello guys, what are your thoughts?
rooney + HBA..i dont believe in torres..
GGMU..!!!
by Ahmad Malaysia on Jan 13, 2012 11:01 AM PST up reply actions
Good to go?
Krul/Brown Verm Rangel/ Silva Valencia Bale Ramires/ Kun Rooney Torres
Keeping Brown/Verm for the same reasons as Neal. Currently holding K2/Cabaye, but Rooney/Torres look more attractive. Any ideas? Have 0,28 left and holding Cabaye@7
Is Ramires at discounted?
may keep Cabaye if not
by Malonemuscle on Jan 13, 2012 10:38 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Ramires is @9ish
I could go Ramires – Torres, this way I won’t have too many Chelsea players (2 is clearly too many :) )
De Gea?
Any word at all? Is there even a chance of him starting?
Only SAF knows.
He could start, but he’s not worth full price. If you hold him on discount, think about it. I dropped him.
Change Valencia to Gerrard? or change Torres for ???
DDG
Verm-Brown-Ayala
Silva-Bale-VDV-Valencia/Gerrard??
Aguero-K2-Torres (I still hope he will produce⦠:D)
Cheers!!!















