Hey managers,

Well after a great week last week, we're back to a typical performance for the model this week. 8 of the 20 teams were within 0.75 points of the prediction (with a ninth at 0.77). I'm happy that Blackburn came out with a performance, as the model suggested. Of course I didn't know anything about the explosions from Spurs and West Brom before they happened, but that's how it goes. Looking up the result of the Spurs game was like looking at a Battleship board after a loss and wondering how you managed to get so close to your opponent so many times without hitting. Despite holding Bale and Modric, I didn't get even one assist from those five goals :)

But that's why we always have next week! See below for the new predictions, and keep in mind that Liverpool and Everton have the week off.

(edit) As always, the numbers in parentheses denote how the predicted score differs from the team's average. I bold the stand-out teams, but be sure to take note of which number is bolded, as that changes the interpretation. I've added asterisks as well, as the auto-links make it harder to read. (/edit)

West Brom 0.91 (-0.13) -v- Sunderland 1.10 (-0.24)

QPR 1.27 (+0.20) -v- Fulham 1.23 (+0.07)

* Chelsea 3.03 (+1.24) -v- Bolton 0.97 (-0.26)

Wigan 1.10 (+0.10) -v- Aston Villa 1.41 (+0.19)

* Newcastle 2.19 (+0.72) -v- Wolves 0.90 (-0.22)

* Man City 4.88 (+2.33) -v- Blackburn 0.72 (-0.85)

Arsenal 1.62 (-0.33) -v- Tottenham 1.54 (-0.43)

Norwich 1.36 (-0.16) -v- * Manchester United 2.37 (-0.06)

Stoke 0.96 (-0.01) -v- Swansea 0.96 (-0.15)

A lot more to choose from than last week. Man City have a few good matches coming up, so it may be the time to load up on them. Will Chelsea be able to throw off last week's game and put up a big scoring effort against Bolton? And look at Stoke v. Swansea and QPR v. Fulham.. anyone care to offer a prediction on those games? Good luck with your picks!