Sorry for the slightly late post this week, I was out of town until today. This past weekend saw a mediocre performance from the model, with 7 of the 20 teams within 0.75 points. I was happy to see Norwich deliver a reasonable performance. Of course, Man United's quiet win wasn't massively helpful, though at least it came through the most likely source.
This week threatens more of the same, with a lot of strong teams on the road. See below for the predictions!
As always, the numbers in parentheses denote how the predicted score differs from the team's average. I bold the stand-out teams, but be sure to take note of which number is bolded, as that changes the interpretation.
Fulham 1.51 (+0.37) -v- Norwich 1.09 (-0.26)
QPR 1.17 (+0.07) -v- Arsenal 2.34 (+0.25)
Everton 1.18 (+0.16) -v- West Brom 0.80 (-0.48)
Wolves 1.75 (+0.68) -v- Bolton 1.54 (+0.37)
Wigan 1.04 (+0.06) -v- Stoke 1.10 (+0.11)
Man City 2.24 (-0.11) -v- Sunderland 0.57 (-0.69)
Aston Villa 1.06 (-0.02) -v- Chelsea 1.29 (-0.35)
Newcastle 1.23 (-0.25) -v- Liverpool 0.98 (-0.23)
Tottenham 1.75 (-0.06) -v- Swansea 0.80 (-0.37)
Blackburn 1.20 (-0.29) -v- Man United 3.09 (+0.65)
So there you have it.. not a week overflowing with options, but there are a few bright spots. Good luck with your picks!