We're getting to the real home stretch now, where discounted players are cast off like a quickly inflating currency. Eight teams managed to get within 0.75 points of the prediction last week, which is not the best performance for the model. Particularly disappointing were Man United, who got caught napping at the most unlikely point in the season.
This coming week should be a fun one, with many teams not appearing at all. There are still some great options for managers, though.. see below!
As always, the numbers in parentheses denote how the predicted score differs from the team's average. I bold the stand-out teams, but be sure to take note of which number is bolded, as that changes the interpretation.
Norwich 0.97 (-0.45) -v- Man City 2.16 (-0.08)
Sunderland 2.39 (+1.08) -v- Wolves 0.78 (-0.29)
West Brom 1.82 (+0.56) -v- QPR 0.84 (-0.23)
Swansea 2.00 (+0.89) -v- Blackburn 1.04 (-0.40)
Man United 2.77 (+0.44) -v- Aston Villa 0.61 (-0.52)
Arsenal 2.80 (+0.85) -v- Wigan 0.72 (-0.28)
So fully one third of the teams are highlighted this week. That should offer some interesting choices! Also, keep in mind that Villa and Blackburn have a double match next week for your barndooring activities. Best of luck with your picks!