Hello managers,

The season is really getting interesting now.. and there's a little extra interest for yours truly as I stand 3.5 points behind my private league rival! Only six games last week, and it was a harsh week for the model (harshest yet in fact) with just 2 of the 12 teams scoring within 0.75 points of the predictions. Only two of the four highlighted teams performed up to spec, and Man City absolutely dominated despite the model's cooler prediction. Perhaps, as Jeremy pointed out last week, this is the point in the season where the early season ceased to be as helpful in predicting the future. We'll see whether the model can rebound this week! Predictions below:

Arsenal 1.99 (+0.02) -v- Chelsea 1.20 (-0.51)

Newcastle 1.65 (+0.13) -v- Stoke 0.72 (-0.23)

Fulham 1.66 (+0.45) -v- Wigan 0.79 (-0.20)

Bolton 1.20 (+0.03) -v- Swansea 1.36 (+0.23)

Blackburn 2.03 (+0.62) -v- Norwich 1.86 (+0.43)

Aston Villa 1.08 (-0.03) -v- Sunderland 1.07 (-0.17)

QPR 1.07 (-0.04) -v- Tottenham 1.81 (+0.04)

Man United 1.98 (-0.36) -v- Everton 0.62 (-0.53)

Liverpool 1.40 (+0.17) -v- West Brom 0.77 (-0.46)

Wolves 0.71 (-0.33) -v- Man City 3.28 (+0.81)

Aston Villa 1.85 (+0.74) -v- Bolton 1.01 (-0.16)

If you put the two double gamers together you get: Aston Villa 2.93 (+1.82) and Bolton 2.21 (+1.04). Of course Man City will be the pick of the week give the opposition and last week's performance. But I'll be looking to Villa for my fillers and perhaps thinking about taking a chance on Yakubu. Looking ahead, it might be a good idea to barndoor some Spurs players, as they have a double week that looks pretty attractive coming up. Good luck with your picks!