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Pre Deadline Chat week 12

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The countdown to the return of the Premier League is on.

Chelsea v Manchester United - Premier League
Taking his 50th league game in charge
Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images

With the last international fixtures completed we have a clear run of consecutive Premier League Fantasy Football until the New Year.

To help your final pre-deadline decisions, we give you a few facts and the logical player picks for week 12 picks that go with them.

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Arsenal v Tottenham

  • Arsenal have won 10 in a row at home and scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 8 home ties.
  • Harry Kane has had the most shots of any Premier League player with 59.
  • Nobody averages more efforts on goal away from home than Kane (5.5).
  • Kane has 6 goals in 4 away league games.
  • Toby Alderweireld is expected to be out injured.

Conclusions

With Lacazette scoring a brace midweek, his confidence should be high. Kane has had a 2 week rest, so Goals galore.

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Bournemouth v Huddersfield

  • Bournemouth have made the fewest tackles of any team
  • Huddersfield have had the fewest touches of the ball in the opposition penalty area of any Premier League club. They also haven’t scored in their last 4 away games

Conclusions

Huddersfield don’t score away, and they allow the opposition possession. Charlie Daniels could return the dream clean sheet + goal + assist combo.

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Burnley v Swansea

  • Swansea have had the fewest shots of any team in the league.
  • The Swans have lost 5 of their last 6.
  • Burnley have 2 clean sheets in a row and 4 in 6.

Conclusions

The away team can’t score, and the home team keeps things tight. Pick keeper Nick Pope plus any Burnley defender.

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Crystal Palace v Everton

  • Palace are the only Premier League team without a clean sheet.
  • The Eagles have failed to score in 10 of their last 12 games
  • Everton no win in 13 away games
  • No team has faced more shots on target than Everton.

Conclusions

A tight, tense game that has 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 written over it. A set piece winner would seem the best shot of a goal, so let’s say Scott Dann who has had 6 efforts on goal in his last 4 games is the pick.

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Leicester v Manchester City

  • Man City have won 9 in a row.
  • City have scored 3+ goals seven times in their last eight games.
  • Leicester have scored 2 goals in each of their last three games.
  • Nicolas Otamendi is suspended.
  • Leicester have won two of their last three against City.
  • Leicester have scored in their last 17 home games.
  • Sergio Agüero has 4 goals and an assist in two away games.
  • Riyad Mahrez has 2 goals and 3 assists in his last four games.

Conclusions

Well the obvious outcome should be a selection of goals and fantasy points for the attackers. Otamendi’s absence is big, so Jamie Vardy should love the space that City will leave him on the break. If he can find himself one-on-one with any of the City back line, then he can exploit them.

Meanwhile, Demarai Gray has looked full of drive since the new Foxes manager arrived. At 5.23m in Fantrax and £5.3m in FPL, he is a great alternative pick for this week and next.

As for City, we should ASSUME Gabriel Jesus starts, but any of of David Silva, KDB, Raheem Sterling and Leroy Sane are all great options. Kun says he is fit to play, but the decision is not his. If you keep some powder dry, then Kun could be a great late acquisition in fantasy formats allowing last-minute moves.

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Liverpool v Southampton

  • Liverpool have had the most shots in the Premier League.
  • ‘Pool have six clean sheets in seven matches at Anfield, unbeaten in seven home games.
  • In their four games away from home, Southampton have averaged 54% possession.
  • The Saints have four clean sheets in a row against Liverpool.

Conclusions

The Saints can’t score, but they can keep possession and play well organised defensive football. That combination often is one Liverpool struggle to break down.

If ‘Pool score early, I take them to go on and win by 2 or 3 goals, making any Reds attacker a good choice. Should the game be a slow tight affair, then I will take a stab that Virgil Van Dijk will score against his potential new owners, or Phillipe Coutinho will produce a moment of magic to win it for the home side.

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West Brom v Chelsea

  • West Brom have the lowest average possession (36.6%) in the Premier League and have completed the fewest passes. They have lost their last three games.
  • Chelsea have won six of their last seven away league games.
  • Alvaro Morata has four goals in four away games, averaging four shots per away-game.

Conclusions

WBA sit deep and allow crosses into the box. It has become normal to see Azpi, Azpicuet, Azpiummm -- Dave to cross the ball into Morata who heads it into the net, so we will go with that combo.

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Manchester United v Newcastle

  • Newcastle have scored more than once in only three of their 11 games
  • Manchester United have kept at least two more clean sheets than any other Premier League team
  • Man Utd are unbeaten in 22 home games.
  • The Red Devils have kept six clean sheets in a row at OT.
  • Lukaku has four goals plus two assists in five home games.
  • Newcastle have one win in their last 16 games in the Premier League and Championship combined.
  • Phil Jones will miss the game

Conclusions

It has the look of whether the home side can break down a typical well organised Benitez side.

Lukaku is very overdue a League goal, and his reputation for picking on sides not in title contention suggests this should be the game.

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Watford v West Ham

  • West Ham have the worst defense in the Premier League, conceding 23 times. The Hammers have drawn three in a row away.
  • Richarlison has had 82 touches of the ball in the opposition box, 10 more than any other player in the league.
  • Watford have lost 3 in a row.

Conclusions

Hard to get a certain read on this one. Watford have found it tough at home, but the Hammers are playing their first game with a new manager. Rumours of Everton approaching Silva may distract a home player or two.

I will go with Richarlison to finally score at home.

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Brighton v Stoke

  • Brighton have scored fewer than two goals in nine of their 11 games.
  • Glenn Murray has scored four goals in his last four games.
  • Pascal Gross has two goals plus three assists in five home games.
  • Eric Maxium Choupo-Moting has had the most efforts home and away on goal for Stoke.

Conclusions

Brighton have been on a purple patch, and forward Murray in particular has caught the eye to the point that a few managers may be looking to pick him up in FPL as a cheap 3rd striker. In Fantrax he represents a great one-week value pick.

Stall

What last-second mistakes are you contemplating? What late news have you read? Chat with us in the comments below as we count down to the deadline.